Patrick Mahomes passing yards prop, touchdown prop for Monday’s Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders game

Player props for Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes on Monday night against the Las Vegas Raiders are available at Caesars Sportsbook. New Illinois bettors can take advantage of Caesars’ new-user promo code by registering here. The Chiefs play the Raiders at 7:15 p.m. central on ESPN.

Patrick Mahomes player passing, touchdown props

Mahomes trends:

Mahomes has thrown three or more touchdown passes in two of four games this season.

Mahomes has gone over 279.5 passing yards only once this year, coming in Week 1.

The Kansas City QB has thrown an interception in each of the past two games.

Only once this year has Mahomes completed 27 or more passes.

Mahomes has been right around 36 attempts in each of the first four games: 39, 35, 35, 37.

Mahomes has gone over 18.5 rushing yards in both of the past two games. He did not clear it in Weeks 1 or 2.

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Shane Jackson’s Best Bet:

I’m once again backing over 2.5 touchdown passes for Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, in which the over is being offered at +136 odds. The implied odds for Mahomes to throw for at least three touchdowns is 42.4% based on the current betting odds.

In his career, Mahomes has thrown for three or more touchdowns in 30 of his 67 regular-season games. As long as sportsbooks are offering this prop at plus-money every week, I will keep taking a chance on Mahomes to put on a show.

Spencer Urquhart’s Best Bet:

The play: NFL: Raiders at Chiefs over 51.5

The odds/bet: -110 ($33 to win $30)

The book: Caesars Sportsbook

Time/TV: 7:15 p.m. (ESPN)

Our take: The over has hit in the last four Chiefs-Raiders contests, and we don’t see that trend reversing tonight with both defenses struggling out of the gate.

Both the Chiefs and Raiders have allowed at least 20 points or more in every game this season, and they’ll likely have trouble stopping each other considering Patrick Mahomes is locked in and that the Raiders have begun to establish a strong run game with Josh Jacobs.

There should still be plenty of points even if the defenses key in on the offense’s strengths, as the Chiefs can run the ball with Clyde Edwards-Helaire, and the Raiders can throw it with Derek Carr and Davante Adams.

Jim Derry says:

KANSAS CITY 30, Las Vegas (+7) 26: As well as the Chiefs played last week, how are bettors supposed to believe they are back to being the old “Chiefs” after blowing a game they had no business losing in Indianapolis or getting a bit lucky against the Chargers the week before?

While I think the Raiders are underrated despite their slow start, I don’t love this pick simply because we don’t know which K.C. team is gonna show up. A complete pass for me. (Over 51.)

Mark Kern says:

Analysis: The Raiders had a ton of hype in the off-season because they added Davante Adams to an already explosive offense. He is tied for third in the NFL with three touchdowns receiving and tied for eighth with 26 catches, but the efficiency isn’t there yet. He has been targeted 47 times in four games, which trails only Cooper Kupp (54). Derek Carr is only completing 61% of his passes, which would be the lowest percentage since his rookie year (58.8%).

Kansas City looked like a Super Bowl contender in the 41-31 victory against the Buccaneers. Patrick Mahomes was in complete control, as he threw for 249 yards and three touchdowns. Combined with the rushing attack, and the Chiefs offense was unstoppable against Tampa Bay. Travis Kelce was dominant in the game, grabbing nine catches for 92 yards and one touchdown.

Both teams are coming off nice wins, but only one of them looked like a contender. If Kansas City comes out and plays like how it did at Tampa Bay, then this one has the makings of a blowout.

Prediction: Kansas City 38, Las Vegas 20