What are the odds Queen of Hearts hasn't been pulled?

Where is that lady hiding?

Since the Morris VFW Queen of Hearts game is down to its last three numbers, the chances for whomever gets their ticket pulled choosing the queen is pretty good (1 out of 3 in the first round, 1 out of 2 if it goes to Round 2).

But what are the chances that the Queen of Hearts has not been selected by this point, 51 cards in? We asked a mathematics professor at Joliet Junior College, Dr. Heidi Lyne about the statistical probability.

She explained in order to get to the chance that the Queen of Hearts would not have been picked, you could multiply the chances of not choosing it each week.

(53/54) x (52/53) x (51/52) ... (5/6) x (4/5) x (3/4)

But to make it more simple, you can cancel the numerators (the number on top of the fraction) and denominators (the number on the bottom) with the same value so that the sequence reduces to 3/54. That fraction translates to about a 5.55 percent chance the Queen of Hearts would not have already been drawn.

In other words, there is about a 94.44 percent chance the Queen of Hearts should have been picked already.